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Re: Anticipatory Systems



Ayten,
 
I am not sure if this relates very directly to your comments, but reading your thoughts brought the following to mind so....here goes.
 
One of the things I have become much more aware of after reading Rosen is the degree to which potential niches are created as unintended side-effects of implementing planning. In my view, something E becomes a niche when an organism S interacts with E in such a way as to improve some quality q of S (such as survivability, fecundity, etc., where the meaning of "improve" is thus tied to the particular quality chosen). The something E is in some sense "larger" than S. 
 
The problem is to know how E interacts with S and affects q positively. Roughly, when will q(f(e) * g(s)) > q(s) ? There are several problems here. The first is one Rosen pointed out long ago in FM: knowing the two functions f(e) and g(s) will generally not include enough information to tell you about the behavior of g(s) in interaction with f(e). The second is the case where q(s) = 0. That is, where S does not have some quality or behavior q until it is in interaction with E. In that case, q arises as a novelty from the interaction - often it is an unexpected consequence.
 
Another problem is simply knowing g and f: what are the possible ways in which two systems can interact? Sometimes, we might have example situations to work from, but often, we can't create an experimental situation ahead of time for testing. Do our (U) prior interactions with E (or S) - that is, knowing how a system U "sees" E (or S) - inform us as to how S will "see" E? This is exacerbated in the case of humans where the degrees of freedom of interaction are so large, particularly when we utilize chimeric relations to expand those degrees of freedom at will. If there is no g(s) which will interact positively with f(e) (i.e., q(f(e) * g(s))  =< q(s)), then we might create a chimeric relation with some other system C (e.g., a tool) which will, such that: q(f(e) * (g(s) * h(c))) > q(s). But even other organisms utilize chimeric relations, so the range of possibilities are not unique to humans.
 
Even for anticipatory control, the above problems exist. The predictive model must attempt to incorporate solutions to these, by determining:
1) the behavior of f(e) * g(s) from the incomplete information from f(e) and g(s) separately,
2) the possibilities for f and g based on interactions of another system U with E and S separately,
3) the possibilities for C and h, and the resultant (g(s) * h(c)), when C is usually unentailed from either E or S,
4) the possibilities for novelty: when q(s) = 0,but q(f(e) * g(s))  > 0,
5) the effect of delta-q (the change in q as a result of such interactions) on the overall (eco)system in question, which may be beneficial, detrimental, or a combination of the two.
 
These kinds of niche issues crop up in social, economic, political situations, as well as in forests and bays. Exploiting the tax code or subsidy programs, entrepreneurial novel services to large organizations, are a few that come to mind.
 
I'll stop here....enough rambling thoughts for now.
 
Regards,
Tim
 
 
-----Original Message-----
From: ROSEN Forum [mailto:***On Behalf Of Ayten Aydin
Sent: Saturday, February 05, 2005 3:53 AM
To: ***
Subject: Re: Anticipatory Systems

Dear Judith,
In reference to your following quotation and the further clarifications and information provided these days by you and Tim I have a few reflections to make:
 
"He used a high-tech camera as an example of a machine with anticipation built in. He recommended that our modes of government and city planning, social system analysis, etc, all be examined for ways to build in a "feed-forward" control system rather than purely feed-back. It's important to note that while all living systems are anticipatory they also have the capability for purely reactive behavior as well. That's something all systems possess. But anticipatory controls are superior under most circumstances because they prevent the system from entering an "error state". An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure!"
 
You know that I am not a biologist but am very much interested in understanding well what is still to be uncovered from those still hidden within the Rosen treasure. To make the new entry more digestable for me, I am each time interpreting every piece of concept and knowledge continuously flowing from your end (you and Tim) into my own built-in professional and personal bagage and gradually unfolding.  I usually find them compatible and reflecting my own life-time difficulty in making people around me to understand certain subtle differences in approaches which look the same on the surface. My thinking process and  my practical actions, almost all my life-long activities concerning river basin planning and implementation, have been shaped by my education, training and practising in an area which required an interdisciplinarity, building the whole as the parts relate and fit in, (as against multidisciplinarity- adding parts to make a sum)  which requires attention to relationships and growing together by influencing each other in the process towards a target, never fully reached. Interdiciplinarity deals with complex systems requiring a process approach with all the characteristics of anticipatory systems where feed-back and feed-forward are continuously operating. It is very similar to living system, with only difference it starts with a man-made starting point with a man-made endind point, but always to be revised on the way. At times initial conditions are also affected. This is also basic difference between project versus process  approach, which is in a way self-organizing, nonlinear and dynamic as well as synergistic. It is certainly never as self-organized and emergent as the nature is where the biology forms an integral part.This is certainly ideal but many times politics determines both the initial conditions and the fixed targets. This is what we are trying to replace. To go with that my personal aim is to apply my own understanding and Rosennean approach as an amplifying, correcting and maturing tool to social-ecological systems to make a dent within  the process of replacing the ongoing (declining) social paradigm with a nature/human friendly one from within.
 
This is similar to healing a failing health by improving the body's immune system or reforestation on the side of living systems and restoring an ailing historical structure growing from its own original credentials (purpose/function, shape/content.. as causations in nature).
 
This is just for you and Tim to reflect on. Please let me know if I am out of the track. Even if I am I must say how much I appreciate the work progressing in this list. 
 
My best,
Ayten