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Hi John M.
John Mikes wrote: What you forgot is to add that the predictions are valid
only within the circumstances included in the model. When "the rest of the
world" presents an 'out-of-boundary' effect, prediction is zero.
Indeed! Which is why there have been massive extinctions over the
course of time on our planet. Rapid change makes the internal predictive models
worse than useless. This is precisely why Global Climate Change scares the heck
out of me. Any organism that cannot compensate adequately for the
difference between its internal models and the actual behavior of the
environment, DIES. Humans can compensate better than any other organism,
perhaps... but how long can we compensate for radical losses in other species?
Phytoplankton doesn't seem like a very important subject to the average human
being, I'm quite sure. But it is of supreme importance, direct importance,
to all of us. The thinning ozone layer that the press never talks about
anymore, for example..... has effects which threaten phytoplankton
big time.
Judith
So: let's talk about New York - even in Rome. Reductionists in Nicobar Island Dec 25 2004 predicted exactly and
accurately how to celebrate the wedding of their daughter 2 days later with the
designated groom. Everything was ready, prepared and thought through. Then came
the tsunami.
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