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Re: Strategic vs Tactical Information



Judith,
 
You produced an interesting article and a kind of a metaphor for the RR's theory to be applied to the present defence mechanism. Your analysis will make not only americans trembling but everybody in the world in one way or another as this pathogen is contageous and conscious, while organic one is not.
 
"It there is an attempt to protect the country via an immune system model, the situation of terrorists masquerading as citizens in a country would be the same as when there are pathogens  trying to hide inside an organism. The result is that it tends to set off an auto-immune response...........It there is an attempt to protect the country via an immune system model, the situation of terrorists masquerading as citizens in a country would be the same as when there are pathogens  trying to hide inside an organism. The result is that it tends to set off an auto-immune response.  It would be a terrible miscarriage of justice if the United States started attacking its own citizens based on some "recognizable" cue, which is likely to be either visual, name related, or foreign language accent-based.
 
From the other side of the medallion I would say, as  a clue to existing societal pathogen and also stimulate further thoughts on the subject: 
 
"Intolerance and/or allergy to certain foods/environment impair our biological immune system's blood cells and result in an auto-immune response. This may be avoided by determining and then eliminating or desensitizing those agents which are held responsible for such intolerance and or allergies. In the process, our immune system is boosted. It is a consciously activated process to help the target system, which has no consciousness of its own,  heal itself."
 
Ayten
----- Original Message -----
To: ***
Sent: Tuesday, April 13, 2004 3:48 PM
Subject: Strategic vs Tactical Information

Hi Folks,
 
On the news this morning, regarding the 9/11 "intelligence failures" within the FBI and between the FBI and the CIA, between the federal govt. and the FAA, between the "intelligence community" and the American public, etc... , there was a short but seminal discussion of trying to figure out a way to get "strategic" intelligence into the mix, rather than just "tactical" intelligence.
 
It struck me that this calls for a Rosennean approach to the problem, which is yet another application of some of my father's Complexity Theory. It's about using a biological model for a national security application: What they want to do is institute an anticipatory system of control to American security. But if they do it wrong, it will end up being paranoia rather than security... and rigid, "guilty until proven innocent" modes of approach to any perceived vulnerability to national security. This is a very serious issue because what constitutes an anticipatory system of control with regards to "security" is basically an IMMUNE SYSTEM. As such, a "guilty until proven innocent" attitude will result in a fatal auto-immune spiral.
 
Since this is exactly what we have been talking about on the list, I felt it was worth discussing this notion in light of both the concept of creating models based on biology and how to go about that usefully from a Rosennean perspective. This also pertains directly to issues being discussed regarding the Immunological Shadow Theory of my father's.
 
An insurmountable problem with trying to set up an immune system model against terrorism is that the "self proteins" of the United States are not homogeneous in any way, shape, or form. You can have someone who looks (or has a name that sounds) "foreign"-- according to some list of criteria encoded in some model-based definition-- But this is a surface feature of someone that could actually be a fifth-generation American-born citizen. That American citizen could be standing on a street corner in NYC next to someone who looks like George Washington's grandson, but who is actually a visitor from Europe or Australia or Timbuktu, and who may not even know enough English to discuss the weather never mind debating the finer points of the Bill of Rights in English.
 
The Immunological Shadow also comes into play as another insurmountable problem, assuming some notion of "self proteins" could be defined. The shadow cast by the criteria for defining/recognizing "self" can be seen as providing a hiding place for terrorists to exploit. On top of that, there are aspects to this that don't have a corresponding example in the real system we would be using as our source/example for making a model, i.e.; the human immune system. The difference between pathogenic proteins invading a body and terrorists infiltrating a country is that terrorists are conscious organisms (more or less) and are therefore capable of far more "disease potential" in ways that pathogens are not.  An immune system is not a conscious system, so it is at a lower level of complexity than terrorists. Consciousness brings with it the creative ability of imagination, which is going to be able to thwart any attempts to immunize the country against terrorism.
 
It there is an attempt to protect the country via an immune system model, the situation of terrorists masquerading as citizens in a country would be the same as when there are pathogens  trying to hide inside an organism. The result is that it tends to set off an auto-immune response.  It would be a terrible miscarriage of justice if the United States started attacking its own citizens based on some "recognizable" cue, which is likely to be either visual, name related, or foreign language accent-based. I think this is already happening and it's just plain wrong in a country built as a "melting pot" of immigrants from all over the world. There simply is NO SUCH THING as a typical American.
 
The immune system is a very touchy and dangerous capability in a multicellular organism and it must not have a 'hair trigger". We really don't have a comprehensive understanding of how it works, which is a serious impediment to trying to model it. However, we DO know that it can malfunction in infinite ways. A malfunctioning immune system can be lethal rather than protective. Indeed, if terrorists wanted to destroy the country, all they would have to do is inspire the formation of an "internal security" policy based on an immune system, and wait. The country would destroy itself, eventually. 
 
If my father were asked to advise the Homeland Security leadership on what biology or Rosennean Complexity would suggest on this subject, Dad would warn them to be very, very careful. Biology teaches that immune systems are dangerous and in order to be useful at all, they need to be precariously balanced between vigilance and restraint. Furthermore, Rosennean Complexity Theory says that this is a system that cannot be completely modeled or simulated because it is Complex. Therefore, even if we fully understood the human immune system to begin modeling it-- which we don't-- all attempts to create an accurate predictive control system based on models of an immune system are going to be flawed by virtue of incompleteness.
 
Judith